# NCAA/NIT Projected Seedings - (Now Projected as 4 seed in NIT)

**URL:** <https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398>\
**Category:** Uncategorized\
**Created:** [February 16, 2022, 7:59pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398 "2022-02-16T19:59:27Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 19\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![BroncoBob](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/a3d4f5/32.png) [@BroncoBob](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/BroncoBob)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2022, 7:59pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/1 "2022-02-16T19:59:27Z")

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> **[Bracketology 2022 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections](https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/)**
>
> Our Bracketology for 2022! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

They have Santa Clara as a 6 seed in the NIT, and ahead of 11 other teams that make the NIT. It starts to get messy as some mid/low major Regular Season Conference Champions lose in their conference tournament and get their guaranteed slot in the NIT.

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**Author:** ![Midwestbronco14](https://yyz1.discourse-cdn.com/flex027/user_avatar/forum.wakeupswig.com/midwestbronco14/32/34_2.png) [@Midwestbronco14](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/Midwestbronco14)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2022, 11:12pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/2 "2022-02-16T23:12:08Z")

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That is slightly friendlier in seeding than Lunardis which has byu Usf and smc each a seed lower.

Love the fact we’re ramping up to the best time of the year.

Putting on my bracket filling out hat, Usf and smc would be really tough weekend 1 draws. Smc with their grindingly slow pace and Usf with the ability to chuck up a plethora of 3s and quick guards.

I’m surprised byu (probably name recognition) has survived the slide they’ve been on.

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**Author:** ![92bronc](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/9/898d66/32.png) [@92bronc](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/92bronc)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2022, 12:24am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/3 "2022-02-17T00:24:17Z")

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Agree on BYU, 10 seed is way too high, should be a bubble team based on how they’ve fared in the WCC.  
The actual selection committee will probably see the same if they dig in to BYU recent games.  
Caveat…they have a Sat. game @ SMC, win that one and/or get a quality win overe SMC or USF and that will solidify their chances…absent that, I can see them being left out.

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**Author:** ![rednwhitebricks](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/d07c76/32.png) [@rednwhitebricks](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/rednwhitebricks)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2022, 12:56am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/4 "2022-02-17T00:56:44Z")

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Lunardi literally has BYU as his last team in, so they really need that win in Moraga

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**Author:** ![rednwhitebricks](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/d07c76/32.png) [@rednwhitebricks](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/rednwhitebricks)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2022, 7:19pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/5 "2022-02-21T19:19:31Z")

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Re-upping this,

we’ve been downgraded to a 7 seed

> **[Feb. 21 NIT Bracketology](https://nitbracketology.blogspot.com/2022/02/feb-21-nit-bracketology.html?m=1)**
>
> Is the automatic bid apocalypse coming? Conference tournaments start in one week (yes, one week with the first round of the NEC Tournament) ...

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**Author:** ![buckets](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/7bcc69/32.png) [@buckets](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/buckets)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2022, 8:54pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/6 "2022-02-21T20:54:16Z")

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He does say in that piece that he moved SCU (and MO St.) down for geographical convenience, implying that it was not for some other concerning reason.

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**Author:** ![bettererer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@bettererer](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/bettererer)\
**Post date:** [February 22, 2022, 12:15am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/7 "2022-02-22T00:15:05Z")

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I’d be surprised if BYU makes the NCAA field… they have been horrendous lately losing 5 of their last 7, the 2 wins being an OT win over LMU and a squeaker at Pepperdine. Even USF seems like they are on thin ice… 1 unexpected loss from being out.  
Assuming both BYU and USF are left out of the NCAA do you think they would take 3 WCC teams in the NIT?

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**Author:** ![rednwhitebricks](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/d07c76/32.png) [@rednwhitebricks](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/rednwhitebricks)\
**Post date:** [February 22, 2022, 12:47am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/8 "2022-02-22T00:47:47Z")

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BYU are clearly on the outside looking in.

USF is on the right side of the bubble but a quad 4 loss right now would of course be devastating. They got the 1 (Portland) but pacific and SD are bad and USF should beat down on them.

Any mid major taking an L right now is in trouble. St Mary’s body of work could probably hold an L like that but it would be bad.

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**Author:** ![92bronc](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/9/898d66/32.png) [@92bronc](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/92bronc)\
**Post date:** [February 22, 2022, 1:08am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/9 "2022-02-22T01:08:33Z")

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Agree bettererer, if tourney selection committee has watched BYU of late it’s unlikely they were impressed. As you noted, struggled just to beat Pepp and LMU last week. It’s all Barcello and not much consistent production from anyone else.  
BYU plays LMU and Pepp again at home this week, those should be easy wins but won’t help their NET. Maybe they’d have a chance at an NCAA bid if they make it to the WCC tourney final but I don’t even see that happening…as a 5th seed they’d need to win 3 just to get to the finals and will have to beat 2 of the top 4 to get there…a tall order the way them been playing the past month or so.

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**Author:** ![BroncoBob](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/a3d4f5/32.png) [@BroncoBob](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/BroncoBob)\
**Post date:** [February 27, 2022, 10:32pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/10 "2022-02-27T22:32:33Z")

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Now up to a 4 Seed in the NIT.

NCAA Tournament  
Gonzaga - 1 seed  
SMC - 7 Seed (I would think 5 or 6)  
USF - 10 Seed  
BYU - 12 Seed (last team in)

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**Author:** ![pistolpete89](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/c0e974/32.png) [@pistolpete89](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/pistolpete89)\
**Post date:** [February 27, 2022, 11:48pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/11 "2022-02-27T23:48:23Z")

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I realize strictly a projection with so much left to be determine. A #4 seed = 1st Round home game. Go Broncos!!

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**Author:** ![sunflowerseedman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/bbe5ce/32.png) [@sunflowerseedman](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/sunflowerseedman)\
**Post date:** [March 2, 2022, 7:00pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/12 "2022-03-02T19:00:02Z")

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> **[NIT Bracketology](https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/)**
>
> The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NIT bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if th…

Don’t love some of the commentary in the Comments section from one of the guys who runs this site (Ctrl-F “Santa Clara” to find it). Seems they feel we may have to win Saturday and Monday to make the NIT. I like the [dratings.com](http://dratings.com) projections much better!

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**Author:** ![92bronc](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/9/898d66/32.png) [@92bronc](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/92bronc)\
**Post date:** [March 2, 2022, 7:27pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/13 "2022-03-02T19:27:54Z")

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Going to have to root for a high # of league champs (auto NIT bid) of mid/lower conferences to also win their conf tourney so they get the NCAA bid and not suck up NIT auto bid slots.

My guess…  
0 WCC tourney wins = no NIT  
1 tourney win = NIT bubble, at mercy of other outcomes  
2 tourney wins = NIT at-large bid (2nd win over NCAA tourney team SMC would be big bump)

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**Author:** ![BroncoHoops5](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/f07891/32.png) [@BroncoHoops5](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/BroncoHoops5)\
**Post date:** [March 2, 2022, 8:29pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/14 "2022-03-02T20:29:59Z")

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That’s exactly how I read it 92.

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**Author:** ![PattyMac](https://yyz1.discourse-cdn.com/flex027/user_avatar/forum.wakeupswig.com/pattymac/32/15_2.png) [@PattyMac](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/PattyMac)\
**Post date:** [March 2, 2022, 10:40pm UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/15 "2022-03-02T22:40:55Z")

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If you want a rosier projection, here’s another guy who does NIT brackets and has SCU up at a 5-seed and less likely to be knocked out of the field (though a 1st round WCC Tournament loss might do it, I suppose).

[https://nitbracketology.blogspot.com/](https://nitbracketology.blogspot.com/)

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**Author:** ![bettererer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@bettererer](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/bettererer)\
**Post date:** [March 3, 2022, 2:30am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/16 "2022-03-03T02:30:20Z")

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NIT is great and all, but it does seem heavily tilted to major conference schools who tend to pack their arenas.  
As much as the NCAA tourney is a massive financial winner, the NIT likely runs at a slight loss (and they have that in mind when they select teams)

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**Author:** ![Midwestbronco14](https://yyz1.discourse-cdn.com/flex027/user_avatar/forum.wakeupswig.com/midwestbronco14/32/34_2.png) [@Midwestbronco14](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/Midwestbronco14)\
**Post date:** [March 3, 2022, 2:47am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/17 "2022-03-03T02:47:31Z")

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Just curious, how would it be a loss?

Do tv rights and sponsorships not outweigh costs? Are there any costs outside of travel and stadium ops?

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**Author:** ![bettererer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@bettererer](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/bettererer)\
**Post date:** [March 3, 2022, 3:25am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/18 "2022-03-03T03:25:47Z")

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There just isn’t much viewing interest in the NIT… Only their final 4 @ MSG draws any viewership (and even that is nothing to brag about). Stiff competition as the NCAA Tourney runs at the same time. Kind of college hoop overkill. Still a solid tournament, and miles better than those 2 joke tourneys.

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**Author:** ![bettererer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@bettererer](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/u/bettererer)\
**Post date:** [March 3, 2022, 3:34am UTC](https://forum.wakeupswig.com/t/ncaa-nit-projected-seedings-now-projected-as-4-seed-in-nit/398/19 "2022-03-03T03:34:53Z")

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I must correct myself… was just reading an article that showed that the NCAA makes about 2M in profit from the mens NIT (although they do also come up on the short end of the stick concerning the Womens NCAA/NIT where there is about a 3M shortfall). Looks like the NIT almost covers for the NCAA Womens Tourneys.
