OOC Game 13: Loyola-Chicago (Santa Cruz)

Broncos vs. Loyola Chicago: Styles Make Fights

When & Where: Saturday, Dec. 20th – 2:00 p.m.

Kaiser Permanente Arena (Santa Cruz)

TV / Stream: BallerTV

Line / Expectation: -4.5 Loyola-Chicago

Santa Clara Broncos (9-3)

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (3-9)

Santa Clara closes non-conference play with a matchup that feels bigger than the records suggest. On one side: a Loyola Chicago team that thrives on chaos, physicality, and second chances. On the other: a Santa Clara group still winning games, but searching for rhythm, health, and continuity.

This isn’t just Broncos vs. Ramblers; it’s spacing vs. strength, flow vs. force, and a fascinating litmus test for where SCU really is heading into conference play.

What Loyola Brings to the Floor: Grit, Glass, and Grind

Loyola Chicago comes in at 3–9, but don’t let that fool you. The Ramblers have spent December quietly forging an identity that travels: pound the paint, crash the glass, and make you earn everything.

They don’t rely on pretty offense. They rely on effort. Missed shots quickly turn into new possessions, and new possessions turn into fouls, free throws, and frustration. Second-chance points are the Ramblers’ lifeblood, and they’re relentless about it.

The downside? Consistency. Slow starts have been a recurring issue, and shaky perimeter defense has allowed opponents to create separation with timely runs. But lately, Loyola has shown more fight. They’re responding better when punched, staying engaged deeper into games, and leaning into their physical identity.

If you’re building a Loyola scouting report, it starts with:

  • Xavier Amos – their most reliable scorer and foul-drawer

  • Justin Moore – the offensive engine and late-clock option

  • Miles Rubin – the tone-setter inside who rebounds, blocks shots, and makes games feel heavy

This is a team that wants to turn the night into a grind.

Where Santa Clara Stands: Winning, But Not Whole

At 9–3, Santa Clara is in a good place, but it hasn’t been a smooth ride getting there.

Since Jake Ensminger went down, the Broncos haven’t quite looked the same. The offense has functioned, but the flow has been inconsistent, and the margin for error has narrowed. Brenton Knapper hasn’t looked like himself all year. He flashes but the team could benefit from his leadership and playmaking ability.

Then there’s the frontcourt. The Broncos desperately need another impactful post and are reeling from the absence of Tadjo’s presence. Although he hasn’t, he could use some extra physicality, rebounding, and ability to absorb contact. The post has struggled to stay on the floor, which could loom large against a Loyola team that lives on offensive rebounds.

And yet, there’s real optimism bubbling beneath the surface.

Christian Hammond is playing at an elite level, providing shot-making, leadership, and late-game calm. Elijah Mahi remains a steady scoring outlet, and Bukky Oboye brings energy that can swing stretches. Most intriguing of all: the anticipation surrounding the potential debut of Gehrig Norman, who many hope can stabilize the perimeter offense, ease ball-handling pressure, and add another confident shooter to the mix.

If Norman can contribute early, it changes the conversation.

Matchup Keys for the Broncos

If Santa Clara wants to control this game, a few things must hold:

  • Protect the ball. Turnovers fuel Loyola’s fire.

  • Defend without fouling. Free throws keep the Ramblers alive.

  • Win the arc. This is where SCU has the clearest advantage; spacing and shooting can pull Loyola out of its comfort zone.

Bottom Line: A Conversation Starter Game

This is a game Santa Clara should win — but it’s also the kind they can make unnecessarily difficult.

If the Broncos play clean, move the ball, and knock down shots, their guard play and half-court defense give them the edge. But if the game devolves into a rebound-heavy, whistle-filled slugfest, Loyola will happily drag SCU into deep water.

More than anything, this one feels like a temperature check. Can Santa Clara impose its style despite injuries and rotation questions? Or does Loyola succeed in turning the night into a grind that exposes SCU’s current vulnerabilities?

This is a Broncos get-right game; expect them to come out sharp:

Santa Clara Broncos 76

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers 63

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Still can’t believe our bad luck getting Loyola Chicago in such a down year from a NET rating perspective. According to Gemini, here are the two programs compared over the last 10 seasons(excluding this current season).

The following table compares the final NET rankings (or RPI for pre-2019 seasons) and KenPom rankings for both programs over the last 10 years.

Season Loyola Chicago (NET/KenPom) Santa Clara (NET/KenPom) Performance Context
2024–25 104 / 100* 58 / 64*
2023–24 86 / 94 108 / 111 Loyola won a share of the A-10 title.
2022–23 266 / 252 82 / 88 Loyola’s worst ranking in a decade during A-10 debut.
2021–22 24 / 24 74 / 74 Loyola’s last NCAA appearance under Porter Moser.
2020–21 10 / 9 166 / 157 Loyola peak: #1 defense in the nation.
2019–20 86 / 77 125 / 130 Season shortened by pandemic.
2018–19 131 / 129 204 / 203 First year of official NET rankings.
2017–18 31 / 31 246 / 239 Loyola’s historic Final Four run.
2016–17 114 / 118 158 / 164 Ratings based on pre-NET RPI era.
2015–16 208 / 215 239 / 244 Both programs were outside the top 200.
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Reminds me of that old George Bernard Shaw saying: “Never wrestle with pigs. You both get dirty and the pig likes it.”

Loyola Chicago is coming off a loss to USF Wednesday night in which the Ramblers were never in the game. How did USF do it? The Dons committed just FOUR turnovers and dominated with 3pt shooting. L-C was atrocious from the perimeter.

San Jose State beat the Ramblers at Acrisure the night before SCU played SLU there. The Spartans beat L-C handily, committing just 7 turnovers and generating 8 steals, contributing to the Ramblers’ TWENTY-ONE turnovers in that game. Loyola Chicago actually shot better from the field percentage-wise than SJSU, but because of the turnover differential, the Spartans took 14 more shots than the Ramblers. Also, San Jose State committed just 12 fouls for the entire game (I think we’ve had a game or two with 12 or more fouls in a half), limiting L-C to just 10 free throw attempts.

What does this all mean? The Broncos SHOULD win. But I don’t like this whole setup. Santa Clara just came off an emotional hard-fought win. SCU has to play on the Saturday before Christmas in Santa Cruz where the crowd will likely be smaller than a typical home game. And it will be a dreaded early afternoon 2pm start - you all know how much I hate those.

I won’t speculate on a score, other than I think it will be low. I’d guess a total combined score around 136.

Side note: UCSD is playing USD tonight. The Tritons are favored by 15. There is no way Lavin can last, can he? Perhaps the Toreros will let him coach out his contract rather than eat it.

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Broncos open as a 15.5 point favorite with an O/U of 148.5

While I love the optimism, this line makes no sense to me. Can we possibly exceed USF’s performance against Loyola-Chicago? Certainly SCU CAN. The Broncos would need to commit the fewest turnovers in a game this season, while also shooting the extremely well from 3. And play excellent D.

Someone mentioned the high turnover rate of our ball-handling guards. Until the Broncos correct the sloppy play and prove they can break pressure defenses, I wouldn’t touch a line like this.

I’m now seeing SCU -16 / O/U 150.5. Either I’m missing something, or bettors are simply assuming that because SCU has performed better than USF and SJSU this season, they should win by a bigger margin.

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I’m seeing what the bookies are seeing, I think. Santa Clara has struggled most with good defenses, especially ones that mitigate SCU’s ball movement and offenses that get out in transition.

Loyola basically does none of the things that have been challenges to SCU. The Ramblers play slow, don’t rebound well, can’t guard the perimeter, and never force TOs. If all that remains consistent, Santa Clara should be able to work the ball around and get good shots and lots of second chance points.

I don’t want to get burned by optimism here, but I’m not ready to accept that these Broncos are merely who they’ve been for the last 4 games and not who they were for the previous 7. This should be a blowout.

87-56 Santa Clara. Loyola is awful defending the perimeter, so I think the Broncos have one of those 12+ 3P games though hopefully are taking the right shots. Gavalyugov has a good game with 19 and 6 assists.

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They are high effort defensive players and they will muck it up like North Texas. They are good on the offensive glass so that could give them more opportunities. The broncos need to limit their turnover or anyone will have a shot and get back to scoring efficiently and playing defense without fouling consistently and giving points up at the free throw.

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Really hope we see Normand play today!

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Shocker: Oboye Foul 1 three minutes into game; Foul 2 eight minutes into game.

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Another bad half. With a little bit of defense, they could keep these Ramblers well at bay. The big hopes are fading. Even bad teams know: get downhill in transition, draw fouls (especially on Bukky, Allen, and Sash), pack the paint on defense. That will at least keep it close against these Broncos.

Santa Clara ranks #319 out of 365 D-1 teams (Source: Team Rankings) as it relates to personal fouls per game with an average of 20.5 fouls per game. I realize that this is a young team but the number of fouls are problematic.

UPDATE : We committed 21 fouls this afternoon against Loyola-Chicago.

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This is starting to feel like:

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This team’s on the ball defense is pretty bad. Ramblers guards are blowing by Sash & BK

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But HS won’t make any adjustment and won’t even try a zone that might plug the weaknesses.

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.

This is looking more and more like a 23-11-ish kind of year.

Let’s hope they can turn it around in the second half.

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Hammond and Mahi providing most of the offense, not enough from everyone else.

Our 3pt D has been solid this year but not so tonight….10 made 3’s, 46%, for Loyola at mid-2nd half.

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Darlan isn’t good. I thought he would be. Bummer.

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Sendek… Youve got to be f-ing kidding me. Clown.

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Beyond frustrating on both sides of the floor.

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What a joke. Absolutely inexcusable.

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Worst loss of the Sendek era. No more at large hopes.

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