Tip-off: Saturday, 4pm at Leavey
TV: ESPN+
Line: Torvik- Broncos -12, 86% win probability; ESPN- Broncos -12.5, 92% win probability.
Rankings: Broncos (NET: 103 / Torvik : 129); USD ( 245 / 262)
USD:
The Toreros are 12-11 overall, 2-6 in the WCC and are coming off a 95-79 loss to USF.
Top Players:
6-10 center Steven Jamerson ( 8.2pts, 7.6rebs)
6-8 wing Kevin Patton Jr (9.5pts, 4.7rebs, 1.3 steals, 1.5 blocks, 35% from 3)
6-6 wing PJ Hayes (11pts, 42% from 3)
6-0 pt guard Wayne McKinney III (14.4 pts, 2.9assists, 39% from 3)
The 5th starter has been a revolving door of guards including a couple of walkons. Deuce Turner (13.9 pts, 34% from 3) started several games early in the season, missed several games to injury but recently returned; whether he starts or not, he will likely play plenty.
USD is extremely young. With the exception of Hayes, Lavin eschewed the transfer portal and brought in a bunch of talented, athletic freshmen. Patton is a true frosh and there are three other true frosh who play a lot off the bench, guards/wings Dragos Lungu and Keyon Kensie and forward Jimmy Oladokun Jr.
USD is fairly athletic across the board. Patton is an above the rim player who impacts the game in a number of ways. McKinney is a fairly quick point guard and attacks the basket well. Jamerson is a mobile post and has shown improved play in the WCC with two straight double-doubles including 18pts, 10rebs vs. USF and 20pts, 12rebs vs. Pepperdine.
Iâve watched portions of several USD games. While they are athletic with some skill and potential, they strike me as a team who hasnât learned the adage: âPlay fast but donât rushâ. They seemed a bit helter/skelter, often out of control on offense which explains their very high turnover rate (even worse than the Broncos) and fairly low 2pt shooting %. They are an above average 3pt % shooting team but donât attempt a high # of 3âs.
For the Broncos, it seems weâre a little banged up with Tilly in concussion protocol and Marshall playing through a bad back. This is the biggest benefit of our depth as several guys should be waiting in the wings to step up if needed.
The Broncos played a little pissed off from middle of the 1st half on vs. SMC. They need to replicate that intensity from the opening tip and play with more toughness and attitude. Iâll be disappointed if we see yet another slow start by the Broncos.
Prediction: Broncos prevail in a closer than expected contest 81-71.