Game 16: @ Pacific

Tip-off: Saturday, 5pm, Spanos Center - Stockton
TV: ESPN+
Line: Torvik- Broncos - 14, 89% win probability; ESPN- 91% win prob, no line yet.

Pacific:
The Tigers are 9-22 (7 D1 wins) overall and 4-13 in the WCC and are coming off a 81-73 loss last night at home vs. Portland. From the end of Jan to mid-Feb Pacific showed some life, winning 3 of 5 including decent wins over WSU and LMU but have lost 3 straight since.
Starters:
-6-6 wing Elijah Fisher (16pts, 4.8rebs, 30% from 3)
-6-7 forward Elias Ralph (14.7pts, 7.2rebs, 1.2 blocks, 27% from 3)
-7-0 center Jazz Gardner (4.6pts, 3.9rebs, 0.5blocks)
-6-3 guard Jefferson Koulibaly (6.5pts, 34% from 3)
-6-4 guard Lamar Washington (13.3pts, 5.1rebs, 5.7assists, 1.6 steals, 30% from 3).
bench: 6-4 guard Petar Krivokapic (7.1pts, 33% from 3) and 6-8 forward Kris Keinys.

The Tigers don’t do much well, middle to lower half in the league in about every stat that matters and are a really poor shooting team, ~350th in the country in eFG%. But despite that and the ugly record the Tigers can hurt you in a few ways and as noted have logged some decent wins in the last month vs. WSU and LMU.
Elijah Fisher is slasher who bullies his way to the hoop and gets to the FT line a ton. Elias Ralph is their most complete player and fills the stat sheet; though only 6-7 he is effective in the low post and a good rebounder but can also score from the perimeter. Lamar Washington also fills the stat sheet and is a solid athlete; but worth noting he started but only played 13mins vs. Portland even though he wasn’t in foul trouble…not certain if he’s injured.

While the Broncos’ 4th place status is cemented, it’s important to play well and head in to the WCC tourney with a little momentum especially after struggling and playing poorly for the last 25mins of the GU game. Hopefully we see some good player and ball movement, sharing the ball and play a reasonably balanced offense while playing with good effort on the defensive end and glass.

It’s wishful thinking but this would also be a nice game for the Broncos to play a little zone which could come in handy vs. SMC (and GU if they get to the title game).

Prediction: Broncos cruise 81-67.

4 Likes

ESPN line: Broncos -12.5.

2 Likes

Give me SCU 88 - UOP 65. I worry that they’ll be a little sluggish starting off, already being locked into their WCC Tournament seed. But I think they’ll want to expel the bad taste of Gonzaga and roll in the second half. Watch out for one of Lamar Washington’s weird offensive explosions.

3 Likes

You all know how much I hate these mid- to late-afternoon games, but I think the 5pm start will be fine.

Pacific last played 7 days ago. We played 4 days ago, plenty of rest without getting rusty. UoP will be the sluggish team.

Broncos win 87-71.

2 Likes

I’m in Stockton to see our broncos . Maybe 20 SCU fans including Cam’s mom. Excellent concessions here - why are SCU’s so bad ? Tigers also have a great merchandise area - what happen to the one we used to have ?

We already have 3 three pointers - on our way to 15.

SCU 90, tigers 70

2 Likes

Nice 9-0 run to close out the half and take a 16 pt advantage into the locker room. Lets close this out and head to Sin City.

7 Likes

Broncos did a nice job of capitalizing off of UOP turnovers, and just 4 turnovers for us, so we’re protecting the basketball.

Tilly…great 1st half! Continue to attack the rim and get to the line. He drives well to his left and finishing tonight.

5 Likes

This could be another 100+ point game

1 Like

Up 31, 7 mins in to the 2nd half. Keep the pedal to metal until the 6-7 minute mark, then get Bukky and Akametu in there and let them finish it out.

3 Likes

Yeah. Be nice to have more fans here. Always wanted better concessions and merch for Santa Clara. They should do that in upcoming years.

1 Like

I will say this: lots of what could have been a this year, but this team has been the crap out of teams they SHOULD beat.

That hasn’t been the case in the last 15 years.

2 Likes

While clicking through espn.com to look at this game’s boxscore, my peripheral vision noticed something on the top banner of the ESPN website: St. John’s University is 26-4 and ranked 7th in the nation! Wherever Rick Pitino goes, he wins. This will be the fifth team he’s guided to the Big Dance. The last time SJU made it to the tournament was in Chris Mullins’ last year as coach in 2019, when they lost in a “First Four” game. Before that, in 2015, Steve Lavin coached the Red Storm to the second round of the tourney.

Pitino’s son Richard is having quite a good run as well as head coach of The New Mexico Lobos. This will be his 3rd straight season of 22+ wins. And they went to the NCAA tourney last year and a good chance of going again this year.