I’m starting this thread because this will inevitably be a conversation that will pick up steam. Podz’s numbers are stellar and, although he has not been high on draft boards as of yet, neither was Williams at this time last year.
Here’s a pretty lengthy dive into Podz as an NBA prospect.
I’ll add more analyses as I find them–I’m expecting he’ll get at least a few deep looks over the next couple of months even if he doesn’t quite make the top-60 this season.
Thanks for posting Patty.
Lengthy but a good read.
Though I’m a ‘numbers’ guy, like stats and detailed analysis as much as anyone, my criticism of some the advance analytics used in articles like this is sometimes their data sources slice things so thin that the sample sizes get small and the end data becomes less meaningful or reliable and you risk some faulty or misleading conclusions.
I think the article accurately mentions some of the questions/concerns NBA guys may have with Podz…namely athleticism and ability to defend.
His athleticism and modest length dictates a certain ceiling defensively. While he grades out decent defensively, he’s doing so against average college talent, not NBA talent and athleticism game after game. I think he has great IQ, plays his butt off, has great instincts and anticipation but those traits will only take you so far when you’re trying to defend Donovan Mitchell or Jalen Brown.
Another question mark relevant for him and most perimeter players in today’s NBA is how will he shot the 3 from NBA range? Will the good college shooting translate to the longer NBA distance? Will he be a low/mid 30’s % 3pt shooter or will he be in the 40’s???
Finally, he plays one of the most competitive positions on the court with more depth than other roles/positions. Lots of great shooting guards/wings out there. NBA teams will take a flyer on posts or big men with question marks and holes in their game because the depth of talent in those positions is thin (there just aren’t that many 6’10" people walking the earth, particularly ones with more than an ounce of coordination)…that’s not the case with guards.
Ultimately, I think he has a legit shot at the NBA. Someone will notice and be enamored with the ‘IT’ factor I’ve mentioned in the past. Wouldn’t expect him to be a 1st round pick; 2nd round or highly sought free agent is more likely and he may have to prove himself in the D-league first on a 2-way contract.
Just my opinion…I’m not being paid to evaluate him or make the decision to draft him or not.
BballFemme…I sense your frustration with the program and Cam’s PT. I don’t pretend to know what you’re feeling and believe you are the only parent of a player on this board…at least to the best of my knowledge.
I’d be curious to know a little more about Cam beyond basketball. What’s his major? Has he enjoyed his time on campus?
As a point guard (another year or two from now), Podz is a first rounder.
Chron article on Podz (behind the paywall)