I am going to pose this question to those much more knowledgeable than me on this topic. Of the three analytic tools above, is the selection committee partial to one in paricular?
Broncos as of this morning 12/14:
NET…#91
Torvik…#79
Ken Pom…#77
I know that any of the numbers above don’t scream at large consideration, and don’t merit a conversation at this moment. However, like many, I am encouraged by our recent play and we picked up a nice win yesterday.
GO BRONCOS !
I’ve been following KenPom, and been pleasantly surprised. The NDSU and Stanford meltdowns were impactful, but maybe a significant run through the conference’s better teams gives us a chance. They still need to play more consistently, and makes some tweaks to the lineup. Go Broncos!
I may be wrong but I believe the Selection Committee only considers NET, not Torvik or KenPom.
That said, even if that’s correct, I have to believe that at least some, look at other advanced metrics during the season.
And while we’re talking analytics…according to Torvik, that was our best adjusted offensive rating and performance of the season. And when the overall ratings considering both adjusted offense and adjusted defense, it was our 2nd best game, a little behind the UC Riverside game. There was nothing exceptional about our raw defensive stats vs. Bradley, in fact they were a little subpar, but when adjusted for the strength of the highly rated Bradley offense our adjusted defense rating gets boosted to average.
It’s worth noting that those rankings listed using different analytics are relatively close…a range of 77 to 91 isn’t significant.
So they actually consider all of the above: NET, KenPom, and Torvik. The tweak this year is that the committee will consider Torvik’s Wins Above Bubble metric for the first time which is supposed to eliminate most of the bias toward the power conferences.
That said, I would not look more than passingly at any of the metrics until/unless SCU gets to the Gonzaga game without taking another loss (i.e. beat USF in the City, OSU at home, and no other losses). The prescription at the beginning of the season was to take no more than 7 losses. Well, they’ve already taken 5 of them. So SCU basically has to place first or second in the WCC to have even a shot. Torvik puts a 1.8% chance of that happening from here. Not nothing, but I’m going to wait for them to get to Gonzaga unscathed before I dare to hope again.
This would be a different world if SCU closes the last 20 seconds against NDSU and Stanford. But they didn’t, so now to have a prayer they’ll have to basically pull off the best 20-game stretch since probably the Sears brothers were on campus.
Patty
Sears brothers? Ogden Brothers.
Oof. Just take away my alum card right now why doncha?
The Broncos won 21 straight with Bud and Ralph Ogden. They don’t need to be quite that good from here. But pretty close …
lol! I knew you meant Bud and Ralph. Keep your card, please.
I didn’t know Kenny had a brother who played 
.
I think his name was Roebuck
The time of year where the Bronco hoops junkies resort to “all we have to do is win 20 straight” line of thinking has come yet again!
This is a talented team that can win most or all of the games left on the schedule. How many they’ll actually win is not clear, but all the way until GU is hard for me to imagine. But that won’t stop me from doing so.
Those two blown leads hurt so bad. NDSU especially, as I was only checking the score on my phone which penciled us in for a definitive win, marked final. I went to bed and slept like a rock, then awoke to see the OT result. Time must have briefly expired or something reviewed at the end… (I’m not a big enough masochist to go watch).