Tip-off: Thursday, 6pm, at the Chiles Center
TV: ESPN+
Line: Torvik- Broncos -7, 74% win probability; ESPN: 86% win prob, no line yet.
Rankings: Broncos ( 106 - NET / 123 - Torvik); Portland (315 / 300)
Portland:
The Pilots are 9-20, 3-11 overall and are on a 5 game losing streak and lost to GU last Thursday by 21.
Starting 5:
6-6 wing Tyler Robertson (16.1pts , 4.1rebs , 3.5assists, 36% from 3)
6-8 wing Tyler Harris (12.1pts, 7.3rebs, 0.9 blocks, 36% from 3)
6-5 guard Vukasin Masic (12.7pts, 3.8rebs, 3.0assists, 39% from 3)
6-11 forward Bol Dengdit (5.7pts, 4.0rebs, 29% from 3)
6-0 guard Juan Sebastian Gorosito (7.7pts, 35% from 3)
Portland isn’t great but they are capable of going off from 3…their entire starting lineup is capable of making 3’s. So the Broncos need to extend their D, run guys off the 3pt line and force them to score in other ways.
Last time we played the Pilots, Robertson went off for 34pts and 4 assists. Hopefully we have a better approach to defending him this time. Regardless, I can’t imagine him putting up 34pts again.
Tyler Harris missed the last game against us and has been in and out of the lineup over the past month. He is a talented freshman with a lot of upside. He’s a bit like USD’s Patton, erratic and unpolished on offense leading to a low shooting efficiency but he’s athletic and does a lot of things well.
Much like the LMU game last week, this is a potential trap game. The Broncos need to focus and take care of business and not look ahead to the rematch with USF. The Pilots are terrible on defense (368th on Torvik); would be good to get the ball inside to Tilly, Tongue, maybe even Caffaro or O’Neil as the Pilots don’t have anyone who defends the post well; Dengdit is long at 6-11 but skinny and easy to push him around. The Broncos have a significant size advantage in the frontcourt and need to dominate the glass.
Prediction: Broncos sail to a 86-71 win.