Tip-off: Saturday, 2pm, at the Orleans Arena
TV: FloSports
Line: Torvik- Duquesne -5, 68% win prob; ESPN- Duquesne 59% win prob, no line yet.
Duquesne:
The Dukes are 8-2 on the season, coming off a narrow 2pt win over Bradley. Best win is vs. UCIrvine; losses are to Princeton and Nebraska. Currently ranked #71 on Torvik, #68 on NET.
Top Players:
- 6-2 senior guard Dae Dae Grant (18pts, 31% from 3, gets to FT line a lot and shoots 94%).
- 6-3 senior guard Jimmy Clark III (16.9pts, 4assists, 31% from 3)
- 5-9 soph guard Kareem Rozier (8pts, 3 assists, 45% from 3)
- 6-7 senior forward Andrei Savrasov (9.2pts, 4.8rebs, 40% from on modest attempts)
- 6-7 senior forward Fousseyni Drame (8pts, 6rebs, 50% from 3 on few attempts).
- 6-9 soph forward David Dixon (5.3pts. 4.5rebs, 2.3blocks in just 18mins a game).
Fousseyni’s brother Hassan comes off the bench; they were on St. Peter’s Elite Eight team two years ago.
The Dukes rely heavily on the 3 (#53 on Torvik for 3pt rate); shooting % is above average at 34.5% but not elite (ranked #120 or Torvik).
The Dukes play a fairly small lineup, Dixon at 6-9 is their tallest rotation guy and he only plays 18 mins/game, and guards/wings are small. You see the limited size play out in their stats: while the are above average to very good at most statistical categories, their defensive rebounding is one weakness, ranked #218 on Torvik giving up 31% offensive rebounds.
I hope we use our size advantage, hit the offensive glass hard and get plenty of putbacks. That has been a consistent aggravation for me throughout the season; despite trotting out very big lineups with a big front court and tall wings, we have not used that size to our advantage. Our rebounding has been just average (Defensive rebounding is #146 on Torvik). FG% defensive has just been OK and our length isn’t creating many deflections and turnovers on D.
I’m hoping to see some sort of progress from the Broncos. Reduced turnovers of course, but also more effective TEAM offense generating better and easier scoring opportunities rather than relying so heavily on 1on1 play and scoring from Marshall and Bal.
We’ll see if Tilly returns, even if he does, I expect his minutes may be limited to 20 or less so we need our other bigs to step up.
Prediction: Broncos bounce back, 75-71.