WCC Game 11: USF

Tip-off: Saturday 3PM @ Leavey

TV: Stadium

Line: This is effectively a '‘ick-em’ game on Torvik, the same on ESPN with a 53% Bronco win probability, no line yet on ESPN

20-6 on the season, 7-4 in the WCC, half game behind the Broncos. Dons walloped Pepp last night, 105-61, so they’ll be feeling pretty good about themselves. Was hoping the Waves would put up more of a fight, but USF was able to rest their starters in the blowout, no one played more than 27 minutes.
Not much has changed for the Dons since we played them 2 weeks ago. Still all about Bouyea (outside) and Massalski (inside). Keep an eye on Khalil Shabazz, quick, dynamic athlete but has always been a streaky, up/down offensive player, not as consistent or efficient as Bouyea. Shabazz is their 3rd leading scorer at just under 13/game but inefficient at 32% on 3’s and 37% overall. However, he just posted 24pts vs. the Waves on 5/9 from 3pt territory. He’s a potential key 3rd contributor for the Dons. Expect Pipes and Stewart to be matched up on him.

Broncos just need to keep Bouyea and Massalski from going nuts, and keep Massalski off the glass (he’s on a streak of 8 games w/ double digit boards and had 20rebounds vs. Portland this week). Offensively for the Broncos: keep doing what we have been…share the ball, balanced scoring, get out and run and look for early offense. Not a game or matchup to play through Vrankic in the post as both Massalski and Tape are bigger, stronger and solid defenders.

Hope the students and alumni turn out.

Broncos keep it rolling, beat the Dons 81-77


I will be there tomorrow. I am hoping for a solid turnout to see SCU dismantle the Dons.

78-69 Santa Clara. Keyshawn grabs yet another double-double with 17 and 11.

another narrow 3-pt differential, but this time in our favor.

PJ stays PIPING HOT. Holt gets more PT.

SCU 82 - 79 USF

Most sportsbooks have USF favored by 1 or 1.5.

Will be USF’s third game since Tuesday but they did not even break a sweat with their domination of Pepperdine on Thursday.

Kenpom adjusts for competition and has,

  • Santa Clara 33rd best offense in the nation, USF 71st

  • USF 27th best defense, Santa Clara 130 on defense

  • Santa Clara 24th fastest tempo , USF 96th

PattyMac was spot on with the final score AND Pipe‘s re-emergence vs SMC. I hope he’s equally clairvoyant for the game against USF tomorrow.


Broncos win 75-70
Wish this game was on ESPN

Santa Clara now favored by 1 at about half the major sportsbooks.

Money flowing to the Broncos move the line??? Or Vegas get some inside info we’re not aware of.

Guys, i’m in vegas, and might have swung the books by myself…


It keeps moving back and forth. If I knew we would have a great crowd then I would say we should be favored but if it is a “meh” crowd then I would say USF. The Dons have been good on the road this year (defense travels).

I put in a teaser bet on the Broncos and the Over.

I think it is going to be a battle, just like the first match a few weeks ago, and the final score differential will be within 6 either way

I also think that there will be some points. Our boys have warmed up on offense, and I read a stat that we are middle-of-the-pack (#130 or so) nationally on defense.

Alright, biggest game in a while, hold onto your butts

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My goodness…Brick City by both teams with the difference being Dons Offensive Boards.

Call this team the Commodores

good looks, just gotta hit them

Massalski killing us…was worried about our ability to defend him and keep him off the boards.

And less Vrankic please…those 1st 6 minutes were an example of why I harp on how we play through him too often, 1-6 to start, and early shot clock jumpers we simply don’t need, we can get that quality of shot any time. I want us to play fast and look for early offense but need to be high efficiency shots.

Brick city for us, need someone to start to get hot

Only turned it over 4 times and down 12. We have no answer for them on the glass.

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Ugh…8 offensive rebounds and 10-0 in 2nd chance points for the Dons.

One hope…USF has coughed up double digit leads to SMC and BYU, have to pray it happens again.