I know that it is a lot to ask, but have we seen a single game where Podz, Justice AND Stewart were all hot from the 3-pt line? We may need a performance like that if we want a shot to get to the WCC final game.
When there are multiple hot hands from outside, it can really open up things for the guys down low.
I think last game was their best collective effort from 3 on the year(6-10, 4-8, 3-8). But you are right that one of the Big 3 is typically cold, which is why getting the increased bench production late in the season has made us so much more consistent as a team.
I think the X factor in the past 5 games has been the bigs coming off the bench. They are a threat and as such - it creates openings out on the 3. Defense has to worry about inside and out now - which is not something teams have had to worry so much in the past. Typically, our inside game had gone stagnant in the games - leaving it easier for defense to defend the perimeter.
This should pan out long term with more outside opportunities that are uncontested and MIGHT get you the hot hand from all 3 of our shooters.
We are currently projected to be on the same side of the bracket with Gonzaga, BYU, Pepperdine, and Pacific.
I actually prefer having GU in the semis when they’re a little more likely to be a little complacent and have (slightly) less fan energy. I think the last really great SCU performance against GU in Vegas was Brownridge’s senior year in the semis.
The rest of the teams are a minefield. Such is parity, I guess. I don’t want to face BYU again. Or even Pepperdine if SCU gets the victory today. Pacific is actually the team I would have the most confidence against. I don’t think they’ll drain 17 threes again.
SCU has its best odds of winning the tournament in a decade. And probably its worst odds of even getting out of the first game with a victory.
but one of those wins is against a non-NCAA D1 team (Menlo College). So really, 24-9. Not sure it would be enough. The SJSU loss really hurt our chances for an at-large. Also, the narrow losses to GU and SMC at home…if we could have pulled off one of those two, perhaps our NET rating would be much higher. We only have one Quad 1 win.
I don’t think we receive an at large even if we sweep this week and then win two in conference tournament, albeit an upset win over GU or SMC in conference semi’s.
On another note…post season projections are being updated almost daily. Latest from DRatings NIT had Broncos a #4 seed (1st round home game)…projected opponent Va Tech, although the NIT does look at appealing geographical matchups in the first round based on what I’ve observed with past tournaments.
BYU just isn’t good enough this year to move the needle. The Broncos could beat BYU five times, and it wouldn’t get them in the tournament.
Last year’s USF squad is the template. They had wins against Davidson, Towson, UAB, Arizona St, Fresno State, and UNLV in the OOC. All were top-100 wins. Then they swept SCU and got one versus BYU. So three more top-100 wins. All that combined was good for 9-8 against the first two quadrants.
SCU is currently 4-6 in the first two quadrants and can’t really go any better than 7-6 with wins over BYU or USF* plus GU and SMC. I think it would get SCU to at least bubble status, maybe like Next Four Out. But I still think it wouldn’t be enough (autobid notwithstanding).
The opportunities just weren’t there, in large part due to teams just not panning out to be as good. Wyoming should have been a Quad 1 win. It’s well into Quad 3 territory.
*And that would require BYU/USF moving into the top-75 NET which I think is pretty unlikely.